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Regulus Resources
Crux Investor Index
7
–
Market Cap (USD)
181818057
Symbol
TSXV:REG
OTCQB:RGLSF
Stage of development
Exploration
Primary COMMODITY
Copper
Additional commodities
Gold
Regulus Resources (TSXV:REG, OTCQB:RGLSF) is a Canadian copper exploration company focused on developing the AntaKori copper-gold project in northern Peru. The project is strategically located in the Cajamarca region, one of Peru's most prolific mining districts, adjacent to two operating mines - Tantahuatay and Cerro Corona.
With a significant resource base of 2.6 billion pounds of copper and 2.3 million ounces of gold in the Indicated category, plus additional Inferred resources, AntaKori represents one of the highest-grade undeveloped copper deposits globally. The company has attracted strategic investments from major mining companies and investment firms, including Rio Tinto (16.11%), Route One Investment Co. LP (21.81%), and Osisko Gold Royalties, suggesting strong institutional confidence in the project's potential.
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No analyst notes
Opportunity
The AntaKori project presents a compelling investment opportunity due to several key factors. First, the project benefits from its brownfield status and proximity to existing infrastructure, which significantly reduces development costs and timeline risks. The deposit features high-grade mineralization near surface, with approximately 36% of the total tonnage within the top 300 meters grading above 0.7% copper equivalent, and a favorable low strip ratio of 0.85:1.
What makes the opportunity particularly interesting is the project's position adjacent to the Tantahuatay mine, operated by Coimolache (a joint venture between Buenaventura, Southern Copper, and ESPRO). The Tantahuatay operation is currently mining oxide gold but is projected to cease oxide operations by 2027. Beneath these oxides lies a significant copper-gold sulphide deposit that straddles both properties, effectively forming the larger "TantaKori" deposit. This situation creates a natural catalyst for potential consolidation, as Tantahuatay will need to transition to sulphide mining to avoid closure.
Similarly, the nearby Cerro Corona mine, operated by Gold Fields, is facing depleting resources and limited tailings capacity, with operations based on low-grade stockpiles expected to continue only until 2030. This creates additional strategic opportunities for Regulus, as both neighboring mines will need to secure additional resources to extend their operating lives.
The timing of this opportunity aligns well with the growing global demand for copper, particularly driven by the green energy transition. Renewable energy systems require up to 12 times more copper than conventional power systems, and electric vehicles use 3-4 times more copper than traditional internal combustion engines. This fundamental demand driver, combined with limited new copper discoveries globally, has led to increased M&A activity in the copper sector, with major mining companies actively acquiring copper assets.
Summary
Management Team
The company's management team brings a proven track record of success in Peru, particularly in developing and monetizing copper assets. CEO John Black brings over 35 years of exploration experience, including roles with major mining companies such as Kennecott, Rio Tinto, and WMC. Notably, Black was the founding president of Antares Minerals, where he played a key role in acquiring and developing the Haquira copper project in Peru, which was ultimately sold to First Quantum Minerals for C$650 million in 2010.
The technical team is led by Chief Geological Officer Dr. Kevin Heather, who brings 40 years of exploration experience and was the founding VP Geology of Antares Minerals. The local operations are overseen by Fernando Pickmann as President and COO, who brings 25 years of corporate, securities, and mining law experience in Peru. CFO Mark Wayne adds significant capital markets experience, including his role as former Chairman of Alamos Gold and founding CFO of Antares Minerals.
Importantly, management has significant skin in the game, owning approximately 11% of the company's shares, with senior management having invested C$2.9 million buying shares over the last five years. This alignment with shareholders, combined with their previous success in Peru, adds credibility to their strategy.
Growth Strategy
Regulus's growth strategy follows a clear three-step business model: acquire mineral resources with overlooked potential, add value through expansion and de-risking, and monetize through sale to a major mining company. This approach has been validated by the management team's previous success with Antares Minerals.
The company is executing this strategy at AntaKori through several parallel initiatives. They have successfully established land agreements with neighboring mines and secured strategic partnerships, including a recent collaboration agreement with Coimolache that provides a pathway to evaluate the combined TantaKori project. This agreement, announced in July 2024, allows for data sharing and collaboration between both parties to complete an integrated mineral resource estimate.
A key technical component of the growth strategy involves the partnership with Rio Tinto's Nuton group, which is testing its proprietary copper leach technologies on AntaKori ore. Initial Phase One testing has shown promising results, with Phase Two testing underway and results expected by the end of 2024. This technology could provide a significant advantage in processing the deposit's mineralization, particularly in dealing with arsenic content while potentially reducing environmental impact through elimination of traditional tailings facilities.
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Financial Overview
Regulus maintains a tight capital structure with 124.7 million shares outstanding (135.9 million fully diluted) and a market capitalization of approximately C$249.3 million at C$2.00 per share. The company had approximately C$16.5 million in cash as of March 31, 2024, providing runway for near-term objectives.
The shareholder base is anchored by strategic investors, with Route One Investment Co. LP holding 21.81%, Rio Tinto holding 16.11%, and management/board holding 11.03%. This strong institutional ownership provides validation of the project's potential while maintaining a relatively tight share structure that could benefit from potential catalysts.
The company has demonstrated its ability to raise capital through strategic partnerships rather than dilutive equity financings, including US$17.5 million from Osisko Gold Royalties and C$20.5 million from Rio Tinto's Nuton group at C$1.02 per share.
Risk Factors and Mitigation
Operating in Peru presents political and regulatory risks that are inherent to mining investments in South America. However, Regulus has worked to mitigate these challenges through its strong local management team and established relationships with both government entities and communities. The project's brownfield status, being adjacent to existing mining operations, significantly reduces permitting risk compared to greenfield developments in the region.
From a technical perspective, the presence of arsenic in the mineralization could impact processing options and potentially affect concentrate quality. The company has addressed this challenge proactively by pursuing multiple processing options, most notably through its partnership with Rio Tinto's Nuton group, whose proprietary leaching technology has shown promising initial results in handling the mineralization characteristics of the deposit.
Resource risk, particularly regarding expansion potential and grade continuity, is being managed through an extensive drilling program and the recent collaboration agreement with Coimolache, which will allow for an integrated resource estimate of the broader deposit. The company's high-quality technical team, led by experienced geologists with significant experience in similar deposits, provides additional confidence in resource delineation and expansion efforts.
Market risk, specifically copper price volatility, could impact project economics. However, the high-grade nature of the deposit, particularly near-surface mineralization, provides a buffer against lower commodity prices. Additionally, the presence of strong strategic partners, including Rio Tinto and Route One Investment Co. LP, provides financial flexibility and potential support during challenging market conditions.
Conclusion
Regulus Resources represents a compelling investment opportunity in the copper sector, combining a high-quality asset, proven management team, and clear path to value creation. The AntaKori project's brownfield status, high-grade nature, and strategic location adjacent to existing operations provide multiple potential catalysts for value realization. The company's ability to attract strategic partners and capital while maintaining a tight share structure positions it well for potential acquisition by a major mining company, following the management team's previous success with Antares Minerals.
The timing appears particularly favorable given the growing demand for copper driven by the green energy transition and the current wave of M&A activity in the sector. While risks exist, the company has demonstrated thoughtful approaches to mitigating these challenges through technical innovation, strategic partnerships, and community engagement. For investors seeking exposure to copper with a clear path to value creation, Regulus Resources offers an attractive risk-reward proposition at current valuations.