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Antofagasta Plc

Crux Investor Index
6
i
Market Cap (USD)
24592376267
Symbol
LSE:ANTO
Stage of development
Production
Primary COMMODITY
Copper
Additional commodities
No items found.

Antofagasta Plc Company Overview

Antofagasta plc (LSE: ANTO) is a UK-based mining company with a focus on the production of copper, which it achieves through a portfolio of high-quality, long-life assets located exclusively in Chile. With operations centered on four key mines—Los Pelambres, Centinela, Antucoya, and Zaldívar—the company ranks among the top copper producers globally. In 2023, Antofagasta produced 660,600 tonnes of copper, supported by robust cost management and a strong operational framework, and earned recognition for its commitment to responsible production through certifications such as the Copper Mark across all of its mines.

Founded with a commitment to long-term value creation, Antofagasta emphasizes sustainable growth and innovation. The company’s current projects include significant expansions, such as the Centinela Second Concentrator and Los Pelambres desalination plant, which ensure a reliable supply of water, reduce environmental impact, and enable higher production volumes. These investments not only support Antofagasta's goal of reaching 900,000 tonnes of annual copper production but also align with its ambitious sustainability targets, including a 50% reduction in Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2035 and a 10% reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030.

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Antofagasta Plc Analyst Notes

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Antofagasta Plc Articles

Opportunity

Antofagasta plc presents a compelling investment opportunity with its focused approach to responsible copper production, significant growth potential, and robust asset base in Chile, one of the world’s most favorable mining jurisdictions. The company's growth is anchored in its core assets, such as Los Pelambres and Centinela, which collectively support a strategy targeting an ambitious increase to 900,000 tonnes of annual copper production. By investing in advanced projects like the Centinela Second Concentrator, Antofagasta is positioned to enhance its production capacity and maintain a first-quartile cost structure.

Antofagasta’s disciplined capital management approach offers financial resilience in a competitive market. In 2023, the company’s EBITDA margin stood at 49%, reflecting a commitment to operational efficiency and cost control even amid inflationary pressures. Additionally, inherited infrastructure, such as Los Pelambres’ desalination plant and Centinela’s second concentrator, enables Antofagasta to minimize capital intensity and maximize returns. The company’s dividend policy, which consistently targets a 50% payout of earnings, underscores its dedication to delivering shareholder value.

As demand for copper continues to rise, fueled by global transitions toward renewable energy and electrification, Antofagasta’s focus on sustainability further strengthens its market position. Through responsible water usage, including a goal to rely on seawater or recirculated sources for up to 90% of its water needs, and new emissions reduction targets, the company reinforces its role as an environmentally conscious leader in copper production. For investors seeking exposure to a reliable, low-cost copper producer with a strong commitment to sustainable growth, Antofagasta plc represents a solid, future-focused investment opportunity.

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Summary

Management Team

Antofagasta plc is led by a skilled and experienced management team with a deep understanding of the mining industry, positioning the company for continued operational success and sustainable growth. At the helm is Iván Arriagada, Chief Executive Officer, he joined the Group in 2015 and is a Commercial engineer and economist with more than 30 years’ international experience in the mining and oil and gas industries.

Mauricio Ortiz, Chief Financial Officer, also joined the Group in 2015. He is a Electrical engineer with two Master of Sciences degrees (Metals and Energy Finance and Electrical Engineering) and 15 years’ experience in the energy, mining and railway industries.

Complementing the team’s technical expertise, Octavio Araneda, Chief Operating Officer, joined the group in 2023. He is a Mining engineer with a Master's degree in Mineral Economics with more than 30 years’ experience in the mining industry.

Together, Antofagasta’s management team is dedicated to driving the company’s mission of delivering long-term, sustainable value, with a focus on operational excellence, disciplined growth, and responsible resource management.

Growth Strategy

Antofagasta plc’s growth strategy is focused on expanding its copper production capacity while maintaining a disciplined, sustainability-driven approach to resource management. Central to this strategy is the advancement of the company’s core assets, including the Los Pelambres and Centinela mines, through ongoing expansions that enhance production and reduce operational costs. By 2024, Antofagasta aims to achieve a production range of 670,000 to 710,000 tonnes, with a long-term goal of reaching 900,000 tonnes annually through strategic projects like the Centinela Second Concentrator and phased expansions at Los Pelambres.

A significant component of Antofagasta’s strategy is its commitment to sustainable development. The company integrates innovative practices to reduce its environmental impact, such as expanding desalination capacity to 800 liters per second at Los Pelambres to secure water supply without relying on freshwater sources. Additionally, Antofagasta is advancing its emissions reduction targets, aiming for a 50% decrease in Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2035 and a 10% reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, aligning its operations with global climate objectives.

Antofagasta’s cost-effective growth strategy is bolstered by rigorous capital discipline and operational efficiency, with savings from the Cost and Competitiveness Programme exceeding $100 million in 2023 alone. The company is committed to shareholder value creation through a consistent dividend policy, maintaining a 50% earnings payout, and prudent reinvestment into high-return projects that support long-term, sustainable growth.

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Financial Overview

Antofagasta plc is financially well-positioned, with strong cash flow, disciplined capital management, and a solid asset base supporting its continued growth. In 2023, the company generated revenue of $6.325 billion, marking an 8% increase from the prior year, while EBITDA grew by 5%, achieving a robust margin of 49%. Antofagasta’s focus on operational efficiency kept net cash costs stable at $1.61/lb, ensuring resilience in a competitive market and supporting shareholder returns.

The company’s cost-efficient growth strategy is reinforced by its strong balance sheet and prudent capital allocation. In 2023, Antofagasta’s Cost and Competitiveness Programme delivered over $100 million in savings, which supported its low net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.38x. The company’s financial strength underpins its growth investments, such as the Centinela Second Concentrator project and the expansion of desalination capacity at Los Pelambres, aimed at increasing production while minimizing environmental impact.

Antofagasta is committed to rewarding its shareholders with a consistent dividend policy. For 2023, the company proposed a final dividend of 24.3 cents per share, maintaining its target payout of 50% of earnings, reflecting a disciplined approach to capital returns. As it continues to advance key projects and expand production capacity, Antofagasta’s financial resilience and focus on operational efficiency position it to capture long-term value for shareholders while supporting its sustainability initiatives and capital growth strategy.

Shareholder Breakdown

Risk Factors and Mitigation

Antofagasta plc proactively addresses key risks inherent to the mining industry, ensuring that the company’s operations remain resilient and aligned with its growth and sustainability objectives. As a copper-focused producer, Antofagasta’s revenue is sensitive to copper price fluctuations. The company mitigates this risk through disciplined cost control, maintaining a low-cost production model with net cash costs of $1.61/lb in 2023. 

Operating solely in Chile, Antofagasta navigates the local regulatory landscape with strong government and community relations. Recent stability agreements at its Centinela and Antucoya mines secure operational certainty through 2030 and 2031, respectively. Furthermore, Antofagasta is committed to responsible mining, maintaining Copper Mark certifications across all mines and setting ambitious emissions reduction targets, including a 50% cut in Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2035. 

Antofagasta faces operational risks from factors like cost inflation and resource availability. The company mitigates these through its Cost and Competitiveness Programme, which delivered over $100 million in savings in 2023. Antofagasta is committed to proactive community engagement and sustainable development. The company’s Social Return on Investment (SROI) assessments, which achieved 100% positive results in 2023, underscore its commitment to fostering strong, positive relationships with local communities.

Conclusion

Antofagasta plc stands as a leading copper producer with a clear commitment to sustainable growth, operational excellence, and long-term shareholder value. With a high-quality asset portfolio concentrated in Chile, the company combines robust production capabilities with disciplined cost management, resulting in consistent performance and a low-cost position within the global copper market. Antofagasta’s strategic investments in projects like the Centinela Second Concentrator and the Los Pelambres desalination plant underscore its dedication to responsible resource management and sustainable expansion.

The company’s proactive approach to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards enhances its reputation as a responsible operator, setting ambitious targets for emissions reductions and water stewardship while maintaining Copper Mark certifications across all sites. Antofagasta’s robust capital structure and prudent financial policies further position it to capitalize on favorable market conditions, driven by the growing demand for copper in renewable energy and electrification initiatives worldwide.

For investors seeking a secure and forward-looking exposure to copper, Antofagasta plc offers a compelling opportunity. With a seasoned management team, a strategic focus on operational efficiency, and a commitment to sustainability, Antofagasta is well-equipped to deliver long-term value while playing a pivotal role in the global energy transition.