Gold Explorer Positioning for Growth Despite Lagging Share Price

- Access to Capital is Key: Fury Gold believes it is in a unique position includes an asset worth nearly $70 million, with a market cap of around $150 million.
- Future Plans and Catalysts for Fury Gold: The company has initiated drilling on the Eau Claire deposit, and results are expected soon. Fury Gold is also set to drill Percival later in the year. It is located near hydropower, road systems, and proximity to major players in the gold mining industry.
Fury Gold Mines is a Canadian gold exploration company with significant assets and relationships that position it for growth in a rising gold market. However, its share price has underperformed some peers, leaving investors questioning the disconnect. A deeper look shows a company laying the groundwork for potentially significant gains when the timing is right.
Strategic Assets in Prolific Gold Regions
Fury Gold operates three core projects located near major producing mines in Canada, including:
- A 50/50 joint venture with Newmont at the Committee Bay project in Nunavut, northern Canada. This covers 300km of prospective ground adjacent to Agnico Eagle's operations.
- The Eau Claire project in Quebec, which contains the flagship Eau Claire deposit. The project covers roughly 30km of the Canard deformation zone, with significant exploration potential.
- Éléonore South, a largely unexplored land package adjacent to Newmont’s Éléonore mine in the James Bay region of Quebec. Over C$60 million has been spent on exploration here historically.
This focused portfolio places Fury’s projects in close proximity to prolific operating mines in attractive mining jurisdictions. The locations provide exploration upside and potential M&A interest from majors looking to consolidate land positions. Specifically, the partnerships and geographic positioning relative to Newmont and Agnico Eagle are strategic advantages.
Monetizing a Non-Core Asset
In 2019, Fury Gold divested its Homestake Ridge project in B.C. to Dolly Varden Silver for C$50 million, comprised of C$5 million cash and around 34% of Dolly Varden’s shares. Fury has since monetized a portion of the Dolly Varden position, raising an additional C$7 million in late 2020. The remaining stake of approximately 23.5% is worth around C$66 million as of August 2022, representing a significant source of flexible capital.
Overall, this non-core asset sale and monetization has strengthened Fury’s balance sheet substantially. It has provided a “cash backstop” as the company advances its core projects, without excessively diluting shareholders. The market does not seem to fully value this strategic advantage.
Access to Capital and Strong Institutional Backing
Despite market weakness in the junior mining sector, Fury has demonstrated an ability to raise capital at reasonable valuations. This includes an oversubscribed C$8.75 million private placement in March 2022 at just a 7.5% discount to market prices and no warrants.
Such placements are led by key institutional and strategic investors, providing critical validation. Recent additions to the shareholder base include a large U.S.-based resource fund and undisclosed major gold producer.
CEO Tim Clark brings over 20 years of capital market experience to Fury Gold, maintaining relationships with potential investors globally. This will support further access to capital as needed, ideally timed with a rising gold price cycle.
Advancing Exploration at Flagship Eau Claire
Fury’s flagship asset is the Eau Claire project in Quebec, host to the high-grade Eau Claire gold deposit. The company is advancing drilling here in 2022, targeting resource growth at depth and along strike.
Drilling began about two months earlier this year versus 2021, taking advantage of a mild winter. Assay results are expected starting in late May, potentially providing catalysts for market interest over the summer months.
Fury is also drilling priority targets at the Percival discovery, located just 1.5km from Eau Claire. Percival showed wide, high-grade mineralization from initial drilling in 2018 but has seen little follow-up activity until now. Results here could demonstrate additional resource potential, changing the scope of the Eau Claire area.
Exploring New Discoveries in Quebec
Beyond Eau Claire/Percival, Fury is generating and advancing exploration targets within its Quebec land package using modern techniques. Much of this ground has seen little systematic exploration in the past.
Multiple new geochemical and geophysical anomalies have been identified along the Canard deformation zone, with similarities to Eau Claire itself. These provide “blue sky” potential for new discoveries within trucking distance of Eau Claire's infrastructure. Drill testing some of the more advanced targets is a 2022 priority.
Major Exploration Upside but Patience Required
Fury Gold has assembled the key ingredients for success in the mining sector - prime project locations, technical expertise, capital, and partnerships with majors. Unlocking the full value of these assets will require systematically advancing exploration and making new discoveries. This takes time and patience.
In the near term, assay results from ongoing drilling at Eau Claire and Percival can provide catalysts for market interest. But a higher gold price environment may be needed for the market to better recognize Fury’s full potential.
Trading below its cash and Dolly Varden holdings alone, Fury is positioned well for when sentiment improves. For patient investors, the current share price represents an opportunity to gain leverage ahead of exploration progress and sector tailwinds. Executing through the down cycle will be key to emerging stronger on the upswing.
Fury Gold needs to address share price performance relative to gold equities and peers
Despite Fury's strong positioning and assets, its share price has lagged both the gold price and many peer exploration companies over the past couple of years. This is partly due to the overall weak junior mining equity environment, but some peers have still managed gains while Fury remains near multi-year lows.
Specifically, since early 2020 when gold began its run-up, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has gained approximately 27%. Over the same period, Fury Gold's share price has declined by around 50%. More recently in 2022, while GDX is roughly flat year-to-date, Fury has seen its shares fall over 25%.
When looking at junior explorer peers, companies like Skeena Resources, Amex Exploration, and O3 Mining have posted substantially better returns than Fury despite operating in the same unfavorable market conditions. This relative underperformance suggests the market is currently applying little value to Fury's assets and growth potential. The company trades at a discounted valuation compared to peers, likely due to its lack of clear near-term catalysts combined with residual skepticism from past challenges.
Improved exploration results and a rising gold price environment may help unlock Fury's upside and bring its valuation more in line with peers. But further advancing its projects and generating excitement around new discoveries will be key drivers to improve relative performance. The ingredients appear in place for significant outperformance when sentiment shifts, but patience is required.
Analyst's Notes


